Not too much time this morning - things to do, people to see - so this post is mostly pictures which, as you probably don't have that much time either, is 'A Good Thing' and also saves you from my deathless prose!
If you had any doubts, you naughty person, concerning the grave warnings issued for the last 30 years by the not-very-Great and definitely-not-even-very-Good faux climate scientists then these diagrams will confirm your worst suspicions concerning their ability to forecast what tomorrow will be let alone anything further into the future.
You can cut to the chase very simply with this diagram. The key line is the bright green one which shoots up, up and away and represents Prof. James Hansen's forecast of where global temperatures would be if CO2 was not severely curtailed. Thanks to all those naughty Chinese and Indians, to say nothing of the lying liars in the west, carbon emissions have increased, not fallen. The next things to look at are the lines with green dots and pink dots. They are the 'actual' temperatures recorded by two 'distinguished' American scientific bodies. Oooops, 'shurely shome mishtake', Dr. Hansen!
Now have a quick glance at how well the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change did in the forecasting game. The green, blue and red lines are their various forecasts of how boiling-hot it would be if we didn't cut emissions and the orange line is their forecast for what would happen if we went back to the stone age and lived 'clean'. The pink line is reality - or as near reality as we can get on a global basis!
This final diagram is an illustration of the 'Harmonic Model' of forecasting versus reality. I would like to offer you a brief description of the 'Harmonic Forecasting Model' but, alas, I don't have the time and anyway, I haven't a clue what it means or how it works. No doubt some of you math swots will be able to explain. Anyway, one thing is for sure, it looks a hellava lot more accurate than Hansen's and the IPCC's pathetic efforts, and if Dr. Hansen gives you a tip for the Stock Exchange or the 3.30 at Epsom - spend your money on booze, it will be cheaper in the long run!
All I got from these charts was a headache!
Posted by: backofanenvelope | Tuesday, 07 August 2012 at 09:41
That's because you didn't take enough water with it last night!
Posted by: David Duff | Tuesday, 07 August 2012 at 09:51
In many ways this is the only real issue. Climate model predictions have turned out to be wrong, therefore their theoretical basis is wrong. Just eyeball the graphs - forget the maths.
Posted by: A K Haart | Tuesday, 07 August 2012 at 11:58
I wonder - as I have often done - how wrong the warmists have to be before even politicians start to give up on the scam.
I suppose as long as it gives them an excuse to take our money and boss us about, they'll go on for ever.
Posted by: Andrew Duffin | Tuesday, 07 August 2012 at 12:45
See, 'Evelope', "just eyeball the graphs - forget the maths"!
Exactly so, Andrew.
Posted by: David Duff | Tuesday, 07 August 2012 at 13:54
It's my eyeballs that are complaining.
Posted by: backofanenvelope | Tuesday, 07 August 2012 at 14:01
Never predict, especially the future.
Posted by: rogerh | Wednesday, 08 August 2012 at 06:31