Confused by Middle East affairs? Just watch what the Israelis do!

Do you find the Middle East confusing?  If so I can welcome you to a 'yuuuuuuge' but, alas, not very distinguished, or even exclusive, club which includes most, if not all, so-called Middle East 'experts'!  Understanding the innate convolutions of this region, of course, is not helped by the fact that virtually all of the main participants are 'born again' lying-liars of the first water!  In addition, many of them are actually, and technically, 'bonkers'!  To make matters worse, what I call the 'outside interferers' suffer with exactly the same mix of ignorance and confusion.

Even so, given the possible (probable?) horrors likely to erupt one of these days, it is important to at least try and understand what is happening and rather than holding up one of your wetted fingers and turning slowly in circles in an attempt to judge from which direction the wind is blowing, I suggest that you simply watch Israel!

If anyone has half an idea of what is going on it is the Israelis and given the fact that they are probably the most intelligent race on earth (which is not saying that much!), and also that they face instant and total eradication if they get it wrong, then my advice is watch what they do!  In particular, watch carefully in mid-May when 'The Donald' will make up what passes for his mind when he decides what to do with the US/Iranian (non)deal first stitched together by that master strategist-not, 'Obamarama'.  

That is when things will become, er, interesting!

 

ADDITIONAL:  For a brief summary of how well the Israelis arrange matters carefully, intelligently and with spot-on accuracy, do read this report from Zero Hedge.

 

 

Comments

[Bob]

David, you've evidently bought into the idea that only Trump can fix it. China, France, Germany, Russia, the UK, the EU, and Iran are all participants in the agreement:

https://www.state.gov/e/eb/tfs/spi/iran/jcpoa/

Trump can only act unilaterally on behalf of the US.

[David Duff]

And that, Bob, will be enough to put the cat among the pidgeons!

[Loz]

The Israelis still might be able to stay off the hook and do nothing if (1) Bolton can persuade a "coalition of the reluctant" out of the Hairies to head to Syria in place of their daisies-up comrades who went before them, and (2) persuade Trump he can claim victory and displacement of US troops by Hairies, even though the US 2,000 actually remain in theatre ...

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-newest-syria-scam-putting-arab-armies-in-charge

Result for the Zionists! Bait-and-bleed 2.0. Result, albeit fake, for the Don. But he likes fake, so it'll probably happen.

Then the ball is back in the Syria, Rooskie, Iran court. Tricky for them, they've got a triple layered adversary: Hairies with decent kit (Saudis have got Javelin ATGM's) in the front rank, US aircover and saturation artillery up second, and the Israelis as the reserve in third.

In other words, back to square one for all Vlad's, Assad's, and the Mad Mullah's 7 years of efforts.

Quoting JK: "Rinse and repeat".

SoD

[Loz]

Nice to hear the enemy's hurting good 'n' proper - makes Brexit and Novichok look like mere insect bites ...

https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/.premium-conflict-between-iran-and-israel-will-rest-on-fate-of-the-nuclear-deal-1.6014440

Courtesy Israel media, good source, as the Gaffer says.

SoD

[AussieD]

When looking at anything involving Israel it is best to remember a quote from Golda Meier "We have nowhere to go but the sea and before that we may as well fight"

"Never again" is not a meaningless slogan in Israel. In good old Aussie jargon it is "fair dinkum mate".

[jimmy glesga]

I watch the RT (Russian) news just for a laugh and note they are not Israeli friendly. The Russians did carry out pogroms against Jews.
The Soviets who were inspired by the likes of Trotsky who was a Jew still jailed Jews after World War 11 and did kill Trotsky.
You can trust the Russians no more than the Peoples Front for Judea.